Lead-acid batteries will still be the mainstream in the next ten years

From a global perspective, the lead-acid battery market in 2010 was 36.2 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 8.6% year-on-year; it is expected that by 2015, the global lead-acid battery market will remain at 2%-5% annually. growth rate. Compared with nickel-metal hydride batteries and lithium batteries, lead-acid batteries are still the world's highest-occupancy products for power storage devices. Among them, automobile startup is its main application market, but the growth has slowed down. Electric bicycles are the fastest growing market. Currently, about 90% of domestic electric bicycles use lead-acid batteries. From the perspective of the energy storage battery market, my country's main energy storage battery is still lead-acid batteries. Lithium batteries and flow batteries are mainly in the demonstration stage, and the overall market size has reached 6 billion yuan. In 2012, the output value of lead-acid batteries in the field of energy storage reached 5.3 billion yuan, and that of other batteries was 700 million yuan. Lead-acid battery technology is mature, and the cost is the lowest among all chemical energy storage batteries. The main problem is that the life span is relatively short, especially during deep discharge. The life span of conventional lead-acid batteries is about hundreds of times. Industry concentration is expected to increase the market demand for power applications of lead-acid batteries, and energy storage is also an important direction for development. The construction of communication base stations will stimulate the demand for lead-acid batteries. In 2012, the investment in the domestic communications industry reached 360 billion yuan. With the construction of the 4G network, the investment will continue to grow in the future. The communication field is one of the main markets for valve-regulated sealed lead-acid batteries, which are mainly used as backup power supplies for communication base stations and central computer rooms. The replacement period is 3-5 years. The total purchase amount accounts for about 2% to telecommunications fixed asset investment. 3%. There is a view that lithium batteries in the electric bicycle field will gradually replace lead-acid batteries in the future. However, due to the high price of lithium batteries, even the cheapest lithium batteries of the same specifications are twice as expensive as lead-acid batteries. Lithium batteries may gradually replace lead-acid batteries in the field of high-end products, and high cost performance will determine lead-acid batteries. Still the mainstream. At present, there are more than 2,000 domestic lead-acid battery companies, of which about 10 companies have an output value of more than 2 billion yuan, and about 260 companies with an output value of more than 100 million yuan. The concentration of the entire industry is very scattered, far lower than the United States, Japan, etc. country. With the 'Notice on Strengthening the Pollution Prevention and Control of Lead-acid Battery and Recycled Lead Industry' issued by the Ministry of Environmental Protection and the 'Entry Requirements for Lead-acid Battery Industry' issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, two-thirds of outdated production capacity will be eliminated in the next three years , Lead-acid battery manufacturers will be reduced from 2,000 to no more than 300, and industry concentration is expected to increase.
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